Political analysts and experts have weighed in on the Supreme Court’s ruling in favour of the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), declaring the party eligible of reserved seats and the subsequent political repercussions that it might might result in.
The 8-5 majority verdict announced by the 13-member full court bench nullified the Peshawar High Court’s (PHC) order wherein it had upheld the Election Commission of Pakistan’s (ECP) decision denying the reserved seats to the SIC.
“The PHC’s judgement dated March 25 is set aside. The order of the ECP dated March 1 is declared to be ultra vires to the Constitution, without lawful authority, and of no legal effect,” read the verdict.
Justices Mansoor Ali Shah, Athar Minallah, Shahid Waheed, Muneeb Akhtar, Muhammad Ali Mazhar, Ayesha Malik, Syed Hassan Azhar Rizvi, and Irfan Saadat Khan ruled in favour of the PTI.
The judges who disagreed with the majority judgment include Chief Justice Pakistan (CJP) Qazi Faez Isa and Justices Yahya Afridi, Amin-ud-Din Khan, Jamal Khan Mandokhail and Naeem Akhtar Afghan.
‘PTI, PPP could join hands’
Reacting to the SC judgment, veteran journalist and analyst Hamid Mir, while speaking to Geo News, revealed that the Federal Law Minister Azam Nazeer Tarar believed that today’s verdict wasn’t according to the Constitution but in fact, was a “popular decision”.
Stressing that it is possible that the government might file a review petition, Mir noted that opting for such a course of action won’t be fruitful for Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s administration.
“The key question [now] is whether the prevailing political crisis would come to an end if the PTI get its reserved seats leaving the government unable to introduce any constitutional amendment?” he said.
Noting that the government has no option but to engage in talks with the former ruling party, he said that the government and its ministers are disconnected from ground realities since they had hoped the verdict to be in their favour.
Highlighting that no one can stop the PTI from securing its reserved seats, the analyst said that the government might still attempt to create hurdles.
“Today’s verdict will not only affect the Centre but its repercussions will also be felt in Punjab as well,” he noted.
Reflecting on the three-member CJP Isa-led bench that upheld the ECP’s decision of depriving the PTI of its “bat symbol” Mir said that the responsibility for PTI getting knocked out of the polls lies on the chief justice regardless of his complaint that his verdict was “misinterpreted”.
Commenting on what the future might look like, the journalist said that since the federal government depends upon its political crutches, it is possible that the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP), who have time again expressed their reservations on the Center’s policies, might join hands with the PTI and support their vote of no confidence motion if the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) fails to fulfil its promises.
PTI doesn’t need SIC anymore
Zahid F Ebrahim, Founding Partner at FGE Ebrahim Hosain, told Geo News that not only will the PTI get its reserved seats, but it will also come back to the parliament as a party and will not need the platform of the SIC.
“The Supreme Court has recognised […] that the PTI was a party. I think that this a judgment of 11 judges as they have acknowledged that those who filed their papers as PTI candidates, they should be considered PTI candidates.”
Ebrahim noted that all parties should accept the apex court’s decision.
‘More complicated’
Former attorney general for Pakistan Ashtar Ausaf told Geo News that the SIC was the party that moved the Supreme Court, Peshawar High Court, and the Election Commission of Pakistan.
“This decision wasn’t in favour of the Sunni Ittehad Council. So, is the SIC going to file a review or was all this just a proxy — maybe someone was using these puppets,” he said.
Ausaf added that as a student of law, he doesn’t see the legal confusion going away after this verdict and that it had made the situation “more complicated”.
The former AGP said that the PTI’s case wasn’t presented before the SC, it was the SIC. Either the parliament should have been given the task of assigning the reserved seats of the ECP.
He added that the Supreme Court interpreters the Constitution and is not an institution that makes laws.
‘Critical verdict in Pakistan’s history’
Anchorperson Shahzeb Khanzada said the top court verdict would not affect the government’s formation as it was formed with a majority of the PML-N and PPP. However, it definitely granted the PTI its due right, he added.
He said the government could change if the election results were announced as per Form 45, instead of Form 47, and the PTI’s claim that they secured a majority of the seats turned out to be true and a speedy trial was held over this claim.
“This [verdict] though has deprived the government of a two-third majority [which could affect the government’s plans] as the government had announced to make numerous amendments in the Constitution as it held a majority of 228 members.”
“When they have lost 22 seats, it means they have lost two-thirds majority. Hence, they can no longer make amendments to the Constitution,” he said.
Khanzada termed this a critical verdict in Pakistan’s history and for democracy as well as a big relief for the political party.
He said, the PTI was first stripped of bat symbol, which was already being criticised.
“Obviously, they should not have been deprived of the symbol on technical grounds. Consequently, they were deprived of reserved seats by declaring their candidates independents which raised a plethora of questions as this could create a hurdle for the democracy’s moving forward as the ECP decisions against the PTI were extremely controversial,” he said.
The SC has gone further ahead in its verdict by restoring PTI as a party saying that if a party could not get an electoral symbol it did not mean that it was no more a political party, he said.
The anchorperson said they were not granted the election symbol, but party candidates contested on various symbols and secured victory. As per the SC, he said, when they entered the parliament they could declare themselves as candidate of the PTI, after proving their affiliation with the party.
“The PTI candidates have been given the chance to prove their affiliation with a party and the PTI has been asked to give its reserved seats’ list,” he said lauding the court order.
More to follow…
